Post-violence UP may see equations change

Political equations in Uttar Pradesh appears to be changing following the Muzaffarnagar communal violence.
According to reports, only two parties — the BJP and the ruling Samajwadi Party — stand to gain.

If the Congress leaders from UP are to be believed, the BJP will emerge as the single largest party in the state in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections.
“You would not be surprised if the BJP wins 30 of the total 80 Lok Sabha seats from UP,” said a minority leader of the Congress.
A Jat leader of the Congress from the state said, “I see Narendra Modi’s wave in the state. The BJP stands to gain in the Saharanpur to Agra belt.”
A former MP from the minority community said the Akhilesh Yadav government should have allowed the Sangh Parivar to take out 84 kos parikrama but it had opposed to gain political mileage out of it, he feels.
The BSP should have taken up the issue of the Muzaffarnagar communal violence aggressively but it did not. On the other hand, the Congress has been weak organisationally and continues to remain faceless at the local level, they pointed out.
According to them, the Muzaffarnagar communal violence will also have a bearing on the Delhi Assembly polls and influence the Lok Sabha elections in Uttarakhand, Haryana and Delhi as well. Brahmin, bania, thakur, gujjar and now jats are shifting towards the BJP in UP, they claimed.
Asked whether the food security and the land acquisition bills will influence the polls, they said “It may not... the Muzaffarnagar riot has not only tarnished the image of Samajwadi Party chief Mulayam Singh Yadav but also put a question mark on his party and the state government’s secular credentials. Minority votes in the coming elections are certainly to split. They would vote for a candidate who can defeat the BJP led by Narendra Modi,” they said.

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